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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-07-31 01:30:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 302330 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles. Although satellite images show a large and well- organized area of thunderstorms associated with the wave, there are no signs of a surface circulation, and pressures are not falling significantly at this time. This system has the potential for some slow development during the next day or two, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde islands is poorly organized. This system is moving slowly westward, and development appears to be unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-07-30 19:38:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 301738 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A strong tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph and is accompanied by increasing shower activity. However, surface observations and satellite wind data show that pressures are relatively high in the area and that there are no signs of a circulation. During the next day or two, development should be slow to occur due to the rapid motion of the system. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and interests in these areas should monitor its progress. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions are likely to be more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered about 400 miles southwest of Cabo Verde continues to lose organization. Development of this system is becoming less likely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-07-30 13:46:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 301146 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph. While the associated shower activity has increased since yesterday, any additional development should be slow to occur due to the rapid motion of the system. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea beginning later today. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles southwest of Cabo Verde has become less organized during the past 24 hours. However, there is still a chance for some development during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-07-30 07:38:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 300538 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph. Associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Cabo Verde continues to show signs of organization. Although this system does not have a well-defined circulation at this time, some development is still possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-07-30 01:46:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 292346 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. Associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of Cabo Verde continues to show signs of organization. Although this system does not have a well-defined circulation at this time, some development is still possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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