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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-07-29 19:39:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 291738 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. The associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could be more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. However, recent satellite wind data indicate that the low does not have a well-defined circulation. Some development is possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-07-29 13:49:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 291149 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at about 25 mph. The associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. However, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized since yesterday. Some additional development is possible during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-07-29 07:01:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 290500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving rapidly westward. Given the fast motion of the system, development, if any, will be slow to occur. However, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands during the weekend, and then, the activity should spread westward across the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased during the past several hours, but the overall organization has changed little. This system has some potential for development during the next day or two, before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-07-29 01:27:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 282327 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located over the Atlantic halfway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is moving rapidly westward. Given the fast motion of the system, development, if any, will be slow to occur. However, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands during the weekend, and then, the activity should spread westward across the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent The area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered about 350 miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands has changed little in organization during the day. This system has some potential for slight development during the next day or two, before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-07-28 19:12:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 281712 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands is moving westward at about 30 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development this weekend when the disturbance could be near the northern Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A tropical wave accompanied by a low pressure system is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms about 350 miles south-southeast of Cabo Verde. Some development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. However, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development early next week when the system is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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