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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-23 19:45:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure area which formed earlier this morning a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is becoming better defined. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-23 13:43:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231143 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure appears to be forming a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-23 07:42:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230542 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early- to-middle part of next week while the system drifts a few hundred miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the next day or two. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-23 01:32:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early- to-middle part of next week while the system drifts a few hundred miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec early next week. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-22 20:06:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221806 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to drift eastward for the next couple of days. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early to middle part of next week when the system is expected to move slowly off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is likely to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec early next week. A tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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