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Hurricane Iota Graphics

2020-11-17 15:40:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Nov 2020 14:40:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Nov 2020 14:40:56 GMT

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Hurricane Iota Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2020-11-17 15:40:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE NOV 17 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 171440 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IOTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC TUE NOV 17 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUERTO BARRIOS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANAJA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Hurricane Iota (AT1/AL312020)

2020-11-17 15:39:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IOTA COULD PRODUCE POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... As of 9:00 AM CST Tue Nov 17 the center of Iota was located near 13.7, -85.2 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

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Hurricane Iota Forecast Advisory Number 17

2020-11-17 15:39:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE NOV 17 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 171439 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC TUE NOV 17 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS HAVE CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THEIR RESPECTIVE COASTLINES FROM SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA TO PUNTA PATUCA HONDURAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER * BAY ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IOTA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 85.2W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 110SE 70SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 85.2W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 84.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.7N 86.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 30SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.7N 88.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 85.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Hurricane Iota (AT1/AL312020)

2020-11-17 12:46:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IOTA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND POWERFUL WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY... As of 7:00 AM EST Tue Nov 17 the center of Iota was located near 13.7, -84.8 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

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