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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 44

2017-09-29 04:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 290232 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Summary for Hurricane Lee (AT4/AL142017)

2017-09-29 04:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LEE WEAKENING AND ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28 the center of Lee was located near 36.3, -54.6 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 984 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

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Hurricane Lee Public Advisory Number 44

2017-09-29 04:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 290231 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 44 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2017 ...LEE WEAKENING AND ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.3N 54.6W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1520 MI...2445 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 54.6 West. Lee is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue with an increase in forward speed until Lee dissipates Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Lee is expected to become a tropical storm on Friday, then dissipate Saturday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory Number 44

2017-09-29 04:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 290231 TCMAT4 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 54.6W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 54.6W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 55.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.1N 51.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.2N 44.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 60SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 120SE 110SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 47.6N 36.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 130SE 140SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 54.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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