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Tropical Storm Victor Public Advisory Number 12

2021-10-02 10:42:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Oct 02 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 020842 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021 500 AM AST Sat Oct 02 2021 ...VICTOR CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 36.3W ABOUT 850 MI...1370 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 36.3 West. Victor is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn toward the northwest over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Victor is now forecast to become a remnant low by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Hurricane Sam Public Advisory Number 38A

2021-10-02 07:34:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Sat Oct 02 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 020534 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 38A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182021 200 AM AST Sat Oct 02 2021 ...SAM'S CORE PASSING WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA... ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT THE HURRICANE HAS LOST SOME INTENSITY BUT STILL PLENTY POTENT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.1N 61.1W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 61.1 West. Sam is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected by tonight, with this motion continuing through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Sam will move away from Bermuda today. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, but Sam is expected to remain a major hurricane into Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Several automated stations on Bermuda have recently reported wind gusts between 40 and 50 mph (65 to 80 km/h). Data from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the minimum central pressure has risen to 945 mb (27.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are likely to continue on Bermuda for the next several hours. SURF: Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda during the next couple of days. Swells are expected to reach the United States east coast and Atlantic Canada today. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Storm Victor Public Advisory Number 11

2021-10-02 04:43:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 020242 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 ...DISORGANIZED VICTOR WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 35.3W ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 35.3 West. Victor is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn more northwest over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Victor is now forecast to become a remnant low Monday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin

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Hurricane Sam Public Advisory Number 38

2021-10-02 04:40:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 020240 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Sam Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182021 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 ...CORE OF SAM PASSING EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... ...SWELLS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S. AND ATLANTIC CANADA ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 61.2W ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 61.2 West. Sam is now moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected by Saturday night, with this motion continuing through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Sam will pass well to the east of Bermuda during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds are now near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although fluctuations in intensity are still possible, weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However, Sam is expected to remain a major hurricane into Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Several automated stations on Bermuda have recently reported wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph (65 to 75 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda tonight and early Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda during the next couple of days. Swells are expected to reach the United States east coast and Atlantic Canada on Saturday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Hurricane Sam Public Advisory Number 37A

2021-10-02 01:48:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 012347 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 37A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182021 800 PM AST Fri Oct 01 2021 ...CORE OF SAM NOW EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT... ...SWELLS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S. AND ATLANTIC CANADA ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.7N 61.5W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 61.5 West. Sam is moving moving just east of due north near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast, at a slightly slower forward speed, is expected tonight, followed by a northeastward motion Saturday night through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Sam will pass well to the east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although fluctuations in intensity are still possible, weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However, Sam is expected to remain a major hurricane through at least Saturday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 937 mb (27.67 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning tonight or early Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda during the next couple of days. Swells are expected to reach the United States east coast and Atlantic Canada on Saturday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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