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Summary for Tropical Depression ANA (AT1/AL012015)

2015-05-10 22:31:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ANA MOVING FARTHER INLAND... ...LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sun May 10 the center of ANA was located near 34.4, -78.6 with movement NNE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression ANA Public Advisory Number 12

2015-05-10 22:31:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 102030 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 500 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...ANA MOVING FARTHER INLAND... ...LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 78.6W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NNE OF WHITEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ana was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a turn toward the northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern North Carolina overnight and into southeastern Virginia on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is likely during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern portions of North Carolina and northeast South Carolina through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. The swells and surf are expected to gradually diminish during the next day or two. Please see statements issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 11 PM EDT under AWIPS header TCPAT1 AND WMO header WTNT31 KWNH. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression ANA Graphics

2015-05-10 19:56:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 17:56:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 15:03:44 GMT

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Tropical Depression ANA Public Advisory Number 11A

2015-05-10 19:56:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 101755 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 200 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...ANA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.1N 78.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from Little River Inlet South Carolina to Surf City North Carolina has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ana was located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 78.9 West. Ana has been nearly stationary over the past few hours, but a slow northward movement is expected to resume later today. A turn toward the northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Ana will move over eastern North Carolina later today and overnight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is expected during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground at times of high tide in coastal areas from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina southward through South Carolina. These above-normal water level conditions should diminish during the next day or so. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern portions of North Carolina and northeast South Carolina through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. The swells and surf are expected to gradually diminish during the next day or two. Please see statements issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm ANA Forecast Discussion Number 11

2015-05-10 16:47:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT41 KNHC 101446 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 NOAA Doppler radar, surface data and visible satellite imagery indicate that Ana continues to move over land near the South Carolina-North Carolina border. Surface observations suggest that the cyclone is barely of tropical storm intensity. Since the center is expected to be over land at least through tonight, weakening to a tropical depression is likely later today. Ana is forecast to move back over the Atlantic in about 36 hours, but regeneration after that time is unlikely due to cool waters and strong shear. The global models show the system degenerating into an open trough and becoming absorbed by a large mid-latitude low over Atlantic Canada in about 60 hours. Ana appears to have turned toward the north but the forward speed continues to be quite slow, around 4 kt. The flow ahead of a broad 500 mb trough should cause Ana or its remnant to turn toward the northeast with some acceleration over the next couple of days. The official track forecast is basically an update of the previous one, and is quite close to the latest dynamical model consensus, TVCN. Elevated water levels, high surf, and rip currents will continue to pose a threat over portions of the North and South Carolina coasts today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 34.1N 78.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0000Z 34.9N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 11/1200Z 36.2N 77.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 12/0000Z 38.2N 75.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 12/1200Z 41.0N 71.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

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