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Tropical Storm ANA Public Advisory Number 10
2015-05-10 10:32:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 100831 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 500 AM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...ANA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... ...CENTER JUST OFFSHORE OF NORTH MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.8N 78.7W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM S OF NORTH MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM ENE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina and Virginia should monitor the progress of Ana. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was located by NOAA Doppler weather radar and surface observations near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 78.7 West. Ana is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected to occur later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Ana should move onshore in the Myrtle Beach, South Carolina area within the next couple of hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours as the center moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. During the past few of hours, NOAA buoy 41013, located about 35 miles (55 km) south-southeast of Cape Fear North Carolina, and a WeatherFlow observing site at Oak Island, North Carolina,reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) with a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area today. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground at times of high tide in coastal areas from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina southward through South Carolina. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern portions of North Carolina and South Carolina through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life- threatening surf and rip currents. Please see statements issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-05-10 10:32:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 100831 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 0900 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 1 4( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 6( 7) 20(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 1 6( 7) 21(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 8(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 9 12(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 6( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 12 11(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 73 7(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) CHARLESTON SC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm ANA Forecast Advisory Number 10
2015-05-10 10:31:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 100831 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 0900 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.7W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 110SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.7W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 78.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.4N 78.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 50SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 35.6N 77.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 37.4N 76.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 39.7N 73.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 78.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm ANA Graphics
2015-05-10 08:00:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 06:00:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 03:03:44 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ANA (AT1/AL012015)
2015-05-10 07:57:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ANA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sun May 10 the center of ANA was located near 33.6, -78.5 with movement NNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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