je.st
news
Tag: onee
Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Public Advisory Number 6
2020-04-26 22:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 262034 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 ...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 119.4W ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 119.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest is expected by late afternoon, followed by a turn toward the west tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the system is expected to dissipate by Monday tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
public
advisory
cyclone
Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-04-26 22:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 262034 TCMEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
cyclone
Tropical Depression One-E Graphics
2020-04-26 16:40:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 14:40:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 14:40:09 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-04-26 16:38:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 261438 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 Deep convection has been waning quickly in the southeastern quadrant since the previous advisory, and the system barely met Dvorak criteria for identifying it as a tropical cyclone at 1200 UTC. Given that the 0446 UTC ASCAT-A overpass mentioned in the previous discussion revealed a fairly sizable area of 28-30 kt winds in the northeastern quadrant, there might be one or two 30-kt vectors remaining despite the recent decline in the convective pattern, and thus the intensity has been held at 30 kt for this advisory. The initial motion remains northwestward, or 305/08 kt. A strong subtropical ridge to the north of the depression is expected to gradually turn the cyclone toward the west-northwest later today and then westward by tonight, with a westward motion being maintained thereafter until the system dissipates by late Monday. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an extension of the previous advisory track, and lies close to the tightly packed consensus track models Deep-layer dry air and cooler sea-surface temperatures, combined with strong westerly shear of 25-30 kt, should continue to erode what little bit of convection remains, causing the system to rapidly degenerate into a remnant low by this afternoon or evening. The low is then expected to dissipate by Monday night. The new intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and closely follows the intensity consensus models IVCN and HCCA. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 15.7N 118.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1200Z 16.8N 122.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-04-26 16:38:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 261438 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 1500 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] next »