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Summary for Tropical Depression Three-E (EP3/EP032020)
2020-06-25 10:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 11:00 PM HST Wed Jun 24 the center of Three-E was located near 10.6, -135.4 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Three-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-06-25 10:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 250834 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Three-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 1100 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 135.4W ABOUT 1455 MI...2340 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1885 MI...3030 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 135.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue this morning. A motion toward the west-northwest is forecast to begin by this afternoon and continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Three-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-06-25 10:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 25 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 250834 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032020 0900 UTC THU JUN 25 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 135.4W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 135.4W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 135.1W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.9N 136.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 11.4N 137.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.8N 138.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.1N 139.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.3N 140.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.4N 142.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 11.8N 146.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 10.9N 151.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 135.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Three-E Graphics
2020-06-25 04:36:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Jun 2020 02:36:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Jun 2020 03:24:38 GMT
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Tropical Depression Three-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-06-25 04:35:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 250234 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Three-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 500 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 There has been little change in the organization of the depression since the previous advisory. Deep convection that was located over the southern portion of the circulation waned during the early afternoon, but a new convective burst has developed within the past couple of hours to the south of the exposed low-level center. The intensity has been held at 30 kt, and is based on the earlier ASCAT data and the most recent Dvorak CI numbers from TAFB and SAB. Although the depression is moving over warm waters and within an area of low wind shear, water vapor imagery indicates that mid-level dry air is located near and just north of the cyclone which is likely the cause of the lack of convection over the northern portion of the circulation. As a result, only modest strengthening is anticipated over the next 24 to 36 hours. After that time, dry air and gradually decreasing SSTs along the forecast track are likely to cause weakening. The latest intensity guidance is slightly lower than the previous cycle, and the NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted accordingly. The new official intensity forecast is in best agreement with the latest HFIP corrected consensus aid. The depression has been moving more westward than expected, with an initial motion estimate of 285/8 kt. A cut-off low well to the north-northwest of the depression is expected to weaken the deep-layer ridge that is currently steering the cyclone. This should cause the depression to turn northwestward on Thursday, with this motion continuing over the next couple of days. By 60-72 h, the weakening tropical cyclone should turn back toward the west as it is steered by the low-level flow. Later in the period, the remnant low is forecast to turn west-southwestward within the trade wind flow over the central Pacific. The latest track model envelope has shifted somewhat southward, which has required a southward adjustment to the official forecast. The new NHC forecast lies between the previous advisory and the latest consensus aids, along the northern portion of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 10.6N 134.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 10.9N 135.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 11.4N 136.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 12.1N 137.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 12.5N 138.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 27/1200Z 12.7N 139.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 28/0000Z 12.8N 141.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/0000Z 12.5N 145.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/0000Z 11.5N 149.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
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