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Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2021-08-04 22:32:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 04 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 042032 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 2100 UTC WED AUG 04 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Tropical Depression Nine-E (EP4/EP092021)
2021-08-04 22:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION REGENERATES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE BASIN... ...COULD BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM... As of 11:00 AM HST Wed Aug 4 the center of Nine-E was located near 14.9, -135.7 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Public Advisory Number 8
2021-08-04 22:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 04 2021 919 WTPZ34 KNHC 042031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092021 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 04 2021 ...DEPRESSION REGENERATES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE BASIN... ...COULD BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 135.7W ABOUT 1770 MI...2850 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 135.7 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Thursday and that northwestward motion continuing through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm today or tomorrow before weakening begins late Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 8
2021-08-04 22:31:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 04 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 042031 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 2100 UTC WED AUG 04 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 135.7W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 135.7W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 135.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.6N 136.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.5N 136.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.4N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.4N 139.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 135.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Ignacio Graphics
2021-08-03 22:37:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 03 Aug 2021 20:37:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 03 Aug 2021 21:29:45 GMT
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