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Tropical Depression Seven-E Information by ATCF XML Prototype
2020-07-20 22:31:45| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at Mon, 20 Jul 2020 20:31:45 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-07-20 22:31:30| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2020
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Tropical Depression Eight-E Graphics
2020-07-20 16:54:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 20 Jul 2020 14:54:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 20 Jul 2020 14:54:17 GMT
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Tropical Depression Eight-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
2020-07-20 16:52:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Mon Jul 20 2020 034 WTPZ43 KNHC 201452 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Eight-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082020 500 AM HST Mon Jul 20 2020 Satellite imagery and overnight scatterometer data indicate that the low pressure area to the southeast of Tropical Depression Seven-E has a well-defined circulation and sufficient organized convection to be considered a tropical depression. Thus, advisories are being initiated on Tropical Depression Eight-E. The initial intensity is 30 kt based on the scatterometer data and a subjective Dvorak intensity estimate from TAFB. The initial motion is 240/6, with the depression being steered by a portion of the subtropical ridge building between it and Tropical Depression Seven-E. This motion should persist with some increase in forward speed for 24-36 h, followed by a turn toward the west as the steering flow becomes more easterly. This should be followed by a turn toward the west-northwest after 60h. The track guidance is in good agreement on this scenario, and the NHC forecast is in the middle of the guidance and close to the various consensus models. The cyclone is over warm sea surface temperatures and in a light shear environment, and these conditions should persist for the next several days. The intensity guidance calls for steady strengthening through about 72 h, and the NHC forecast follows this trend near the upper edge of the intensity guidance envelope. The Rapid Intensification Indices of the SHIPS model suggest about a 20-25 percent chance of RI during the first 72 h of the forecast, so it is possible that the cyclone will strengthen more than currently forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 13.7N 119.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 13.1N 121.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 21/1200Z 12.4N 123.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 22/0000Z 11.8N 125.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 22/1200Z 11.7N 128.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 23/0000Z 11.9N 131.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 23/1200Z 12.7N 134.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 24/1200Z 14.5N 139.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 25/1200Z 16.5N 145.5W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Eight-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-07-20 16:52:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 20 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 201452 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082020 1500 UTC MON JUL 20 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 119.8W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 119.8W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 119.4W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.1N 121.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N 123.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.8N 125.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.7N 128.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.9N 131.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.7N 134.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 14.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 145.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 119.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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