je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics
2020-07-14 16:39:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-07-14 16:38:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 802 WTPZ41 KNHC 141438 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 The depression has been moving over a ridge of warmer sea surface temperatures (about 28C) over the past few hours, and a nontrivial amount of deep convection redeveloped soon after the issuance of the previous advisory, albeit at least 60 n mi to the southwest of the low-level center. However, with no appreciable change in the cyclone's structure, the initial intensity remains 25 kt in accordance with the overnight scatterometer data. The depression is forecast to reach waters colder than 26C in 12-24 hours, which should extinguish the remaining deep convection. The updated NHC forecast now shows the depression degenerating into a remnant low by 24 hours, with dissipation by 48 hours. Another scenario is that the depression could dissipate at any time if it opens up into a trough, which is shown by most of the global model guidance. The depression is moving west-northwestward, or 285/14 kt, which is more poleward than has been shown by the dynamical track models. Because of this, the simpler shallow trajectory models are given a higher contribution on this cycle, with the new NHC track forecast ending up a bit north of the previous forecast. The depression and its remnants are expected to gradually accelerate toward the west-northwest or west over the next day or two until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 18.1N 116.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/0000Z 18.3N 119.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 15/1200Z 18.4N 122.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 18.2N 126.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062020)
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of Six-E was located near 18.1, -116.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 141436 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 116.6W ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 116.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A faster motion toward the west-northwest or west is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, and the depression is expected to become a remnant low or dissipate by early Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 141436 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Sites : [445] [446] [447] [448] [449] [450] [451] [452] [453] [454] [455] [456] [457] [458] [459] [460] [461] [462] [463] [464] next »