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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-28 01:35:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

276 ABPZ20 KNHC 272335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rosa, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to gradually become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical cyclone is expected to form over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-28 01:34:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

637 ABNT20 KNHC 272334 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, centered very near St. Lucia. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west of the Azores, remains a powerful non-tropical low with storm-force winds. The associated shower activity has gradually become better organized around the low's center since yesterday, and Leslie is expected to again become a subtropical storm, or possibly a tropical storm, on Friday while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity has changed little in organization near an area of disturbed weather located about 300 miles south-southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia. This system is expected to merge with a frontal system and move north-northeastward over increasingly colder waters overnight, and no additional development is forecast. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-27 19:50:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

524 ABPZ20 KNHC 271750 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rosa, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite data and reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become a little better defined since yesterday. Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-27 19:29:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

176 ABNT20 KNHC 271729 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, which is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west of the Azores, remains a powerful non-tropical low with storm-force winds. The associated shower activity is gradually becoming better organized, and Leslie is expected to again become a subtropical storm, or possibly a tropical storm, tonight or Friday while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity has become more concentrated in association with an area of disturbed weather located about 250 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts. While satellite wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds, there are currently no signs of a closed circulation. Little additional development of this system is expected before it merges with a frontal system tonight. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-27 13:40:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

829 ABNT20 KNHC 271140 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west of the Azores, remains a powerful non-tropical low with hurricane-force winds. The associated shower activity is gradually becoming more organized, and Leslie is expected to again become a subtropical storm, or possibly a tropical storm, later today or Friday while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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