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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 13:36:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

876 ABPZ20 KNHC 141136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located just over a 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity, associated with a weak low pressure area located a little over a 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has diminished considerably during the past several hours. The system is now moving northwestward over decreasing sea surface temperatures and into an environment less conducive for any further development during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 07:27:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

192 ABPZ20 KNHC 140527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large low pressure system is located about 950 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better organized, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days days while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak low pressure area located about 1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although some slow development is still possible during the next day or so, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters by late Tuesday or Wednesday, which would limit further development chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 07:13:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

120 ABNT20 KNHC 140513 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 700 miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms mainly to the east of the center. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a somewhat more conducive for some subtropical or tropical development by Wednesday. The system is forecast to move northeastward over the colder waters of the North Atlantic by late Thursday or Friday, which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 01:10:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

808 ABNT20 KNHC 132310 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad non-tropical area of low pressure located a little more than 600 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for some tropical or subtropical development by Wednesday. The system is forecast to move northeastward over the colder waters of the North Atlantic by late Thursday or Friday which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 01:10:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

809 ABPZ20 KNHC 132310 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have continued to become more concentrated near the center of a low pressure system located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next 2 to 3 days while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad low pressure area located about 1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing showers and a few thunderstorms. While this system is showing some signs of organization, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters by Tuesday afternoon, which would limit further development chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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