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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 13:33:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

089 ABNT20 KNHC 051133 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves little over the next day or so, and then moves northeastward through Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 07:43:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

732 ABPZ20 KNHC 050543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized over the past several hours. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure system has become more concentrated during the past few hours, however recent satellite data indicate that the system does not yet have a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions are conducive for development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 07:42:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

690 ABNT20 KNHC 050542 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores continues to produce limited shower activity. However, environmental conditions are expected to become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves southwestward over the next day or two, and then lifts back to the northeast while remaining over warm water through Tuesday. Additional information on this low pressure area can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 01:37:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

476 ABPZ20 KNHC 042337 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization during the past few hours. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 01:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

296 ABNT20 KNHC 042334 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system centered about 950 miles west-southwest of the Azores remains limited. However, the low could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves southwestward over the next day or two, and then lifts back to the northeast and remains over warm water through Tuesday. Additional information on this low pressure area can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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