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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 19:47:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
203 ABPZ20 KNHC 041747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite data indicate that a broad low pressure area has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for significant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or tomorrow while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about 275 miles south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, has become significantly better defined this morning, and a tropical depression could be forming. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, relatively close to Mexico, and interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect coastal regions of Guerrero northwestward to Jalisco over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 19:47:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
020 ABNT20 KNHC 041747 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system centered about 850 miles west-southwest of the Azores remains limited. However, the low could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves southwestward over the next day or two, and then lifts back to the northeast and remains over warm water through Tuesday. Additional information on this low pressure area can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 17:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
414 ABPZ20 KNHC 041552 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 855 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to increase the development chances of the disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Updated: Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and the system is already showing signs of organization. A tropical depression could form over the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward nearly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 13:54:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
062 ABPZ20 KNHC 041154 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Although this system has the potential to become a tropical depression early next week, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west could prevent tropical cyclone formation while the system moves westward or west-northwestward south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 13:53:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
858 ABNT20 KNHC 041153 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 800 miles west-southwest of the Azores is producing gale-force wind gusts northeast of its center. Although associated shower activity is currently limited, the low could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics over the next few days while it moves southwestward at about 10 mph over warmer water. Additional information on this low pressure area can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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