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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-07 01:38:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 062338 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the northern Leeward Islands continues to get better organized. A tropical depression is expected to form later tonight or on Monday while the low moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Showers and thunderstorms continue to steadily increase and are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located just west of Senegal. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely there Monday night and Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Watch or Warning could be required for the islands by early Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea south of Jamaica and extending northward across the island is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain unfavorable for development for the next several days while the system moves westward, and tropical cyclone formation is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A trough of low pressure located just to the southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A new tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa by the middle to latter part of this week. Some gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-07 01:08:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Julio, located less than 100 miles northeast of Socorro Island. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-06 19:27:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061727 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms are still not well organized. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on Monday while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located just off the coast of western Africa. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is likely there Monday night and Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds should limit its formation chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A trough of low pressure located just southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-06 19:17:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061716 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Julio, located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Julio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Julio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-06 13:29:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a tropical wave that is located just off the coast of western Africa. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is possible there on Monday and Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds should limit its formation chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development during the next several days while this system moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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