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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-05 19:38:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 5 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small well-defined low pressure system is located about 150 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The low is producing tropical-storm-force winds over a small area to the north of its center, but the associated thunderstorm activity remains intermittent. Conditions do not appear to be favorable for much further development, but only a small increase in the organization of thunderstorms near the center of the circulation would result in the formation of a tropical storm. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, near or along the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. Regardless of development, this low could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico. For more information, please consult products from your local meteorological office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-05 19:22:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051722 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Omar, located about 600 miles northeast of Bermuda. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected while it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located over the east-central Caribbean Sea is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for formation. This wave is expected to move westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave located inland over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on Sunday. Gradual development of this system is then expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-05 13:42:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 5 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small well-defined low pressure system is located about 150 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. This system is producing a large area of thunderstorms well to the west and northwest of its center and a smaller area of showers near its center. Although conditions do not appear to be favorable for much further development, overnight satellite-derived wind data indicated that this system is already producing winds near tropical-storm-force and only a small increase in thunderstorm activity near the surface center of circulation would result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, near or along the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Regardless of development, this low could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico. For more information, please consult products from your local meteorological office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-05 13:41:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
860 ABNT20 KNHC 051141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Omar, located about 500 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. Shower activity has become less organized in association with a trough of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected, as it will likely be hindered by the interaction with a large tropical wave located a few hundred miles to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected while it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Gradual development of this system is then expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-05 07:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 050530 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 4 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system is located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Most of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains displaced well to the west of the low. Although upper-level winds are forecast to inhibit further development during the next couple of days, only a small increase in thunderstorm activity near the surface center of circulation could result in the formation of a tropical depression. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, near or along the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Regardless of development, this low could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Please consult products from your local office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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