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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-26 01:47:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252347 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. This system will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm during the next day or two while it moves slowly east-northeastward or northeastward, near or just west of the southwestern coast of Mexico. For more information on this system, see High Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure near the coast of south-central Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system has become unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds and close proximity to land. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although this system is currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity, its circulation has become better defined during the past several hours. Some additional development of the disturbance is expected and it will likely become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-26 01:47:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 252347 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Laura, located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 19:43:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 251743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Laura, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 19:42:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized during the past several hours and the surface circulation has become a little better defined. Although upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development, a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system that was located just off of the coast of south-central Mexico near Puerto Angel has opened up into a trough of low pressure. Consequently, development of this system appears to be less likely. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 13:33:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251132 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system is located just offshore of the south-central Mexico coast near Puerto Angel. The low is forecast to meander or move slowly westward to west-northwestward over or near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could still form if the system remains offshore over the next day or two. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another small low pressure system has developed several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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