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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-24 01:26:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 232326 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although this disturbance has a well-defined circulation, it is producing only limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to support the redevelopment of thunderstorms and the system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a wide area of disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. This system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two before it moves over cooler waters that will inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system will be possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-24 01:05:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 232305 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles southwest of Newfoundland. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-23 19:20:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231720 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters after that time which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-23 19:15:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 231715 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories recently upgraded Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Nova Scotia. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-23 13:20:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231119 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce an area of cloudiness and showers. Although the shower activity has become a little less organized overnight, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive for gradual development over the next couple of days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters after that time which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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