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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 22:02:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 222002 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 405 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the development of a Subtropical Depression over the northwestern Atlantic. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 350 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, has continued to get better organized today, and a subtropical depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue, advisories will be initiated on this system at 500 PM AST this afternoon. This system is expected to move eastward and northeastward away from the United States during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 19:58:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221758 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 320 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, has become better organized today. The low is moving slowly eastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and if this recent development trend continues, then a short-lived subtropical depression or subtropical storm could form later today or tonight. The system is expected to weaken as it moves over cold waters by late Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 19:23:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221723 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves westward. After that time, cooler waters are likely to inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 13:24:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, are showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves westward, away from the coast of Mexico. After that time, cooler waters are likely to inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 13:05:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221105 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a large low pressure system located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, remains disorganized. The low is moving slowly eastward just north of the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and tropical or subtropical development will remain unlikely if the system remains over unfavorable ocean conditions. The system is expected to weaken as it moves over even colder waters late today and on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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