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Tropical Storm Gordon Public Advisory Number 4
2018-09-03 14:27:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 830 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 674 WTNT32 KNHC 031227 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gordon Special Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 830 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS OVER THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS WITH HEAVY RAINS LIKELY... SUMMARY OF 830 AM EDT...1230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 80.7W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF MARCO ISLAND FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of South Florida from Golden Beach to Bonita Beach, and for the Florida Keys from Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi-Alabama border westward to the Mouth of the Mississippi River A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Golden Beach to Bonita Beach * Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay * Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning areas. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 830 AM EDT (1230 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was located by NOAA Doppler weather radar and surface observations near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 80.7 West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and a west- northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will pass over the southern tip of the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and evening, and reach the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night. Surface observations and radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Destin Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...1 to 2 ft. Mississippi-Alabama border to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to 2 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula. Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early Thursday. These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning areas across South Florida and the Florida Keys, and those conditions should continue through the afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the central Gulf Coast warning area by late Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-09-03 14:22:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1230 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 106 WTNT22 KNHC 031222 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018 1230 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH * CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY * ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 80.7W AT 03/1230Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 80.7W AT 03/1230Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 79.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 82.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.2N 84.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.8N 87.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.4N 89.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.0N 92.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 34.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 35.5N 96.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 80.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Summary for Tropical Storm Gordon (AT2/AL072018)
2018-09-03 14:02:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS NEAR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... As of 8:05 AM EDT Mon Sep 3 the center of Gordon was located near 25.1, -80.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Gordon Update Statement
2018-09-03 14:02:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 805 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 532 WTNT62 KNHC 031202 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Gordon Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 805 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS NEAR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... Surface observations from the Florida Keys and radar data indicate that Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven has become Tropical Storm Gordon, with maximum sustained winds of around 45 mph (75 km/h). A Tropical Storm Warning will be issued shortly for portions of the Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula in a forthcoming special advisory to be issued by 900 AM EDT (1300 UTC). SUMMARY OF 805 AM EDT...1205 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 80.6W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF CAPE SABLE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.79 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brennan/Stewart
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Tropical Storm Gordon Public Advisory Number 3A
2018-09-03 13:31:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 523 WTNT32 KNHC 031131 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018 ...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 80.5W ABOUT 5 MI...5 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM E OF CAPE SABLE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi-Alabama border westward to the Mouth of the Mississippi River A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas Interests in the Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the disturbance was located by the Miami NOAA Doppler weather radar near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 80.5 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the disturbance will pass over Florida Keys and the southern portion of the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and evening, and reach the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this system is forecast to become a tropical cyclone later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Destin Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...1 to 2 ft. Mississippi-Alabama border to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to 2 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula. The disturbance is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early Thursday. These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area by late Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are possible today across portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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