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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-30 19:12:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 301712 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 30 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A trough of low pressure extends from the Yucatan peninsula northeastward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico to a weak low over north Florida. This system, in combination with an upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico, is triggering widespread cloudiness and showers over the northwestern Caribbean and the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions are not conducive for development and tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated. Nevertheless, locally heavy rainfall will likely continue over portions of western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula during the next several days while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea northward across the Lesser Antilles to the nearby Atlantic waters. Environmental conditions are not favorable for development and tropical cyclone formation is not forecast. This system is expected to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days bringing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles during the next several days. A Flash Flood Watch in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through late Sunday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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