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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-03 01:53:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 022352 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2017 Corrected order of disturbances For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A sharp trough of low pressure, located about 80 miles east of Great Abaco island in the northernmost Bahamas, is producing an area of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Although tropical cyclone formation is not expected due to hostile upper-level winds, the disturbance is forecast to move westward at about 20 mph for the next day or two, spreading locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds in brief squalls across portions of the northwestern Bahamas overnight, and across much of South Florida by Tuesday morning and continuing into Tuesday afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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