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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 13:50:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131149 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located about 400 miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. The wave is expected to move west-northwestward over the next day or so and emerge off the coast of Africa later this afternoon. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some additional development to occur during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. Interests in and around the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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