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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-21 13:52:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 211152 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92): A small area of showers and thunderstorms persists with a low pressure system located around 150 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville, Florida. An Air Force Reserve aircraft is currently investigating the system to determine if the low has a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for some additional development, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to reach the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia by tonight, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico later today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Berg
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