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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-05 13:52:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051152 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwest Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system. Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the northeast and east of its center. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple of days while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development is not expected. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it drifts northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly in association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the western Caribbean Sea. Significant development appears unlikely before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early Friday. Some development is possible late in the weekend into early next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development of this system during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week, environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow development while the system moves west-northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-05 13:46:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051146 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-05 07:26:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
265 ABNT20 KNHC 050526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity well to the east of its center. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple of days or so while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development is not expected. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it drifts northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph over the western Caribbean Sea continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development is possible in a few days after the system crosses the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development of this system during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week, environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow development while the system moves northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics