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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-28 13:37:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 28 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather extends from Central America westward along the southwest coast of Mexico. Although this system does not appear to have a well-defined circulation at this time, development is anticipated, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form later today or Sunday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near the southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along that portion of the coast should monitor the progress of this disturbance since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required later today or Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is expected to continue near the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. For information on potential marine hazards, see High Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system drifts slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Avila

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