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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-05 13:41:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not increased in organization during the past day or so. This system is expected to interact and possibly merge with another disturbance to its southwest over the next couple of days, and the likelihood of development appears to be decreasing. The low is forecast to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just west of the disturbance mentioned above about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, which has been decreasing over the past several hours. Development of this system is not likely before it interacts or merges with the larger disturbance located to its northeast late this weekend or early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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