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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-11 19:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
699 ABPZ20 KNHC 111728 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves northwestward and then northward at 5 to 10 mph. Conditions will become less conducive for additional development early next week when the system begins to encounter colder waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the eastern Pacific south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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