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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 01:44:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112344 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system has become a little better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions are conducive for additional development. A tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves northwestward and then northward at 5 to 10 mph. Conditions will become less conducive for additional development early next week when the system begins to encounter colder waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. While the associated thunderstorm activity shows some signs of organization, environmental conditions are not currently conducive for additional development. This system is expected to move little during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the eastern Pacific south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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