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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 19:29:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little over the past several hours, a tropical depression is still expected to form tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce limited shower activity, and strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent development of a tropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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