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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 01:41:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132341 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains broad and elongated without a well-defined center, according to recent satellite-derived wind data. Upper-level winds are increasing over this system, and the chances for significant development continue to decrease as the low moves slowly north-northeastward. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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