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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 13:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Baja California Sur, the Gulf of California, and western Mexico are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Upper-level winds have increased over the system, and the low has moved over cooler waters. Therefore, development is no longer anticipated. However, heavy rainfall associated with this system is likely to continue across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. By late this week, the proximity to land could inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

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