Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

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2024-09-06 07:07:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-06 01:26:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 052326 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90): A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms persists over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico in association with a broad area of low pressure that is interacting with a nearby weak front. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development of this system while it meanders over the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with an approaching frontal system by late Friday or Saturday. Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Atlantic (AL99): A gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing showers and thunderstorms with some signs of organization to the east of its center. This system could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics over the next day or two while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. The low is expected to move over cooler waters and become associated with fronts by early Saturday, and further development is not expected. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early Friday. Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Category: Transportation and Logistics