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Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2024-07-03 04:46:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 030246 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 2(28) X(28) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 43(46) 25(71) X(71) X(71) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) X(33) X(33) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 8(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) CAMAGUEY 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 12(12) 80(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X 1( 1) 58(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) 31(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MONTEGO BAY 34 5 94(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MONTEGO BAY 50 1 77(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) MONTEGO BAY 64 X 41(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) KINGSTON 34 67 33(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGSTON 50 5 90(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) KINGSTON 64 1 72(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) LES CAYES 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) LES CAYES 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) CAPE BEATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 18
2024-07-03 04:46:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 030245 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 72.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 72.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 71.8W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.2N 75.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 78.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N 82.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.3N 85.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.1N 88.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N 90.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.7N 94.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.0N 97.5W...ON COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 72.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Graphics
2024-07-03 01:56:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Jul 2024 23:56:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Jul 2024 21:22:53 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics