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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 54
2017-09-18 22:43:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 182043 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 54 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM FENWICK ISLAND... DELAWARE TO FIRE ISLAND INLET... NEW YORK. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO HULL * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON * NEW HAVEN TO WATCH HILL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 71.1W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..275NE 270SE 240SW 235NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 71.1W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 71.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.9N 71.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.4N 70.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.9N 70.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.9N 68.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.0N 67.1W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.4N 67.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 38.5N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 71.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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