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Hurricane Kirk Public Advisory Number 12
2024-10-02 16:47:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 02 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 021447 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 02 2024 ...KIRK CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 43.0W ABOUT 1260 MI...2030 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1225 MI...1970 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 43.0 West. Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected over the next several days with a gradual turn more to the north-northwest by the end of the week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Kirk is forecast to become a major hurricane tomorrow. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are beginning to spread outward and could affect affect portions of Leeward Islands and Bermuda by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 12
2024-10-02 16:47:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 021447 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 43.0W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......170NE 180SE 70SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 43.0W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 42.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 44.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.2N 45.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.3N 47.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.7N 48.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.4N 49.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.7N 50.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 32.7N 49.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 150SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.6N 42.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 290SE 250SW 190NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 43.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Thirteen Graphics
2024-10-02 16:47:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 14:47:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 14:47:03 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics