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Remnants of Joyce Public Advisory Number 15

2024-10-01 04:31:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 010231 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Joyce Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 ...JOYCE DISSIPATES OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON JOYCE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 49.0W ABOUT 970 MI...1560 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Joyce were located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 49.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). The remnants of Joyce are expected to merge with a mid-latitude trough and accelerate northeastward during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next several days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Remnants of Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 15

2024-10-01 04:31:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 010230 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 49.0W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 49.0W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 49.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-01 01:46:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to gradually form off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development after that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (96E): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have continued to become better organized this afternoon. Although the system does not yet appear to have a well-defined surface circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as tonight or tomorrow. This system is forecast to meander for the next couple of days before drifting northward towards the southern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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