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Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Advisory Number 5
2024-11-03 09:39:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 030839 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 0900 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 26.0W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 150SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 360SE 540SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 26.0W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 26.9W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.7N 22.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 38.1N 18.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.4N 14.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 40.9N 10.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 42.1N 8.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 26.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Lane Graphics
2024-11-03 09:34:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 08:34:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 09:28:39 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Lane Forecast Discussion Number 7
2024-11-03 09:33:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 030833 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Lane Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 Lane is fading fast. Strong southwesterly shear associated with the flow on the southern side of a broad upper-level trough has disrupted the circulation of the tropical cyclone. Recent scatterometer data show that the low-level circulation center is losing definition, and the maximum winds have decreased to 30 kt at most. Enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that most of the associated deep convection, which was displaced well to the northeast of the estimated center, is dissipating. Given the current degradation of circulation and convection, the system is now expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 12 hours. The initial motion is slightly south of west at around 5 kt. This general motion should continue for the next couple of days while the system is steered by the shallow low-level easterlies. The official track forecast has again been shifted slightly southward to conform to the latest numerical guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 11.2N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/1800Z 11.1N 132.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/0600Z 10.9N 133.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/1800Z 10.7N 135.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics