Home Summary for Tropical Depression Joyce (AT1/AL112024)
 

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Summary for Tropical Depression Joyce (AT1/AL112024)

2024-09-30 10:37:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...JOYCE LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Mon Sep 30 the center of Joyce was located near 22.1, -49.7 with movement W at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.


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Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 12

2024-09-30 10:36:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 300836 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0900 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 49.7W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 49.7W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 49.6W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.8N 49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.6N 49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.7N 49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.8N 49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 49.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Discussion Number 18

2024-09-30 10:35:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 900 AM GMT Mon Sep 30 2024 000 WTNT45 KNHC 300835 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Isaac Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102024 900 AM GMT Mon Sep 30 2024 Isaac continues to show signs of transitioning into an extratropical cyclone. The central convection has mostly dissipated, and the system is taking on more of a frontal appearance, with a zonally-oriented cloud and rain shield over the cyclone's northern semicircle. The current intensity is kept at 55 kt in accordance with a Dvorak estimate from TAFB, although this is somewhat uncertain since Isaac no longer appears to be a true tropical cyclone. The cyclone continues to move east-northeastward or at about 060/13 kt within a southern branch of the mid-latitude westerlies. Isaac is expected to turn toward the northeast during the next couple of days as it approaches a shortwave ridge just west of the British Isles. The official track forecast has been nudged only slightly eastward in the 2-3 day time frame, towards the latest corrected dynamical model consensus. Isaac is moving over cool waters and should complete its extratropical transition today. The global models suggest that the system will gradually weaken during the next few days as it becomes absorbed within a larger low over the North Atlantic. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous NHC prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 44.7N 31.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 45.8N 28.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 01/0600Z 47.4N 25.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 01/1800Z 49.4N 23.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 02/0600Z 51.3N 22.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 02/1800Z 53.0N 21.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 03/0600Z 54.5N 20.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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