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Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2016-08-07 10:54:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 070853 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 0900 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO WESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO SANTA FE... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.3W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.3W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 103.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 105.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.3N 107.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.3N 108.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.6N 112.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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