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Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E Public Advisory Number 1
2016-08-07 10:54:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SUN AUG 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 070854 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 400 AM CDT SUN AUG 07 2016 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 104.3W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the southwest coast of Mexico from Manzanillo westward to Cabo Corrientes. The government of Mexico has also issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from La Paz southward and westward to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from La Paz southward and westward to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 104.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today and this motion should continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression should pass near or over the southwest coast of Mexico today, and approach the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over western or coastal parts of the Mexican states Colima, Jalisco, Michoaca, Nayarit and the southern part of Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through Tuesday morning. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the southwest coast of Mexico within the warning area by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the watch area by late Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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