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Tropical Depression ENRIQUE Forecast Discussion Number 22
2015-07-17 22:35:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 172035 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 200 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015 Recently received ASCAT data shows that Enrique has weakened to a tropical depression with winds of 30 kt. There is currently no deep convection associated with the cyclone, although several bands of low-topped showers are present. Unless there is a significant increase in convection, the cyclone should degenerate into a remnant low pressure area in 24 hours or less. After that, the dynamical guidance suggests that the remnant low should persist for several more days before dissipating. The initial motion is 270/2. The track guidance indicates that Enrique and its remnants should make a counter-clockwise loop during the next three days or so, followed by a northwestward motion. The new track forecast is again similar to the previous forecast and is near the center of the track guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/2100Z 20.5N 137.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 18/0600Z 20.3N 137.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 18/1800Z 19.9N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0600Z 19.9N 137.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/1800Z 20.2N 137.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 21/1800Z 23.0N 138.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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