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Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE Forecast Discussion Number 3
2015-07-14 04:33:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTNT43 KNHC 140233 TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032015 1100 PM AST MON JUL 13 2015 Claudette has not changed much in strength this evening. The cloud pattern remains asymmetric with all of the deep convection confined to the northeast part of the circulation due to about 30 kt of southwesterly shear. Continued strong shear combined with much colder water along the expected track should cause Claudette to lose its tropical characteristics in 24 hours or less. The global models show the post-tropical low dissipating on Wednesday. Satellite fixes indicate that the center of the storm is located to the southeast of the previous track. The latest initial motion estimate is east-northeastward at 17 kt. A turn to the northeast or north-northeast is expected to occur on Tuesday, and that general motion should continue until the storm dissipates. The official track forecast is adjusted to the right of the previous one and is in best agreement with the GFS model. The intensity and wind radii forecasts are based on guidance from NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 38.9N 64.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 40.6N 62.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 15/0000Z 43.2N 59.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 15/1200Z 46.3N 57.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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