je.st
news
Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Forecast Discussion Number 16
2015-07-16 10:45:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2015 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 160845 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 200 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2015 The convective organization of Enrique continues to wane with the remaining thunderstorm activity located well to the north of the center. A couple of recent partial ASCAT passes showed winds to near 35-kt, so Enrique remains a tropical storm for this advisory. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days while the cyclone moves over cool water and in an environment of moderate south-southwesterly shear. Enrique is forecast to become a remnant low within a day or so. The initial motion estimate is 295/6. A slow west-northwestward motion should continue for another 24 hours, before steering currents weaken and the cyclone turns westward and slows down. Most of the global models take the remnant low slowly west-southwestward, then southward in a few days. The latest NHC track is close to the previous advisory and the GFS ensemble mean. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 19.5N 134.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 16/1800Z 19.9N 135.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 17/0600Z 20.4N 136.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 17/1800Z 20.4N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/0600Z 20.0N 138.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 19/0600Z 19.5N 138.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 20/0600Z 19.5N 138.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||