je.st
news
Tropical Storm John Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2024-09-27 16:33:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 545 FOPZ15 KNHC 271432 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MANZANILLO 34 21 16(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) MANZANILLO 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ZIHUATANEJO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 7
2024-09-27 16:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 271432 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 46.8W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 150SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 46.8W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 47.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 38.1N 44.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.4N 40.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.0N 38.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 55SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.4N 36.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 55SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.7N 35.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 55SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.8N 33.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 35SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 48.0N 29.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...190NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 52.1N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 80SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 46.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm John (EP5/EP102024)
2024-09-27 16:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JOHN ABUTTING THE COAST... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 9:00 AM CST Fri Sep 27 the center of John was located near 18.1, -103.0 with movement NNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics