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Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 4
2024-09-28 10:37:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 280833 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 45.3W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 45.3W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 44.9W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 46.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N 48.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.1N 49.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.7N 49.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.3N 49.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.6N 49.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 45.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Joyce Graphics
2024-09-28 10:36:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 28 Sep 2024 08:36:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 28 Sep 2024 08:36:40 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-28 07:26:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 280526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene, located inland over the Ohio River Valley. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad and elongated area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is producing limited shower activity near and to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form next week while moving toward the west and then northwest at about 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by the early part of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development thereafter while the system moves generally northwestward, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week as the system enters the Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics