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Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 6
2024-10-01 04:33:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 980 WTNT22 KNHC 010233 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 36.8W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 36.8W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 36.3W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.8N 38.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.8N 40.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 42.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 43.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.2N 45.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.4N 46.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 110SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.3N 48.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 140SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 36.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Remnants of Joyce Graphics
2024-10-01 04:32:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Joyce Forecast Discussion Number 15
2024-10-01 04:32:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 083 WTNT41 KNHC 010231 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Joyce Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 Recent CIRA ProxyVis GOES imagery, and an ASCAT-C overpass around 00Z indicate that Joyce no longer has a well-defined center. Therefore, Joyce is no longer a tropical cyclone and this is the last NHC advisory. The ASCAT data indicated that winds of 25-30 kt are still occuring near the remaining convection associated with the remnants of Joyce. Joyce's remnants are expected to merge with a mid-latitude system and accelerate northeastward during the next couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 23.0N 49.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics